The Retirement Decision Lab

Decision 4 · Week 4 · Wed Dec 2

How will I pay for long-term care?

SHORT ANSWERMostly from your own income and savings, long-term care insurance if you hold a policy, or Medicaid once your income and assets fall under your state's limits. Medicare does not pay for long-term custodial care.

Medicare does not pay for help with daily living, such as bathing, dressing and meals. Medicare.gov says that for this kind of long-term care you pay all costs. Medigap policies do not cover it either.

The odds of needing some care are high. According to the federal Administration for Community Living, someone turning 65 today has almost a 70% chance of needing some type of long-term care. Women need it for 3.7 years on average and men for 2.2 years. About 20% will need it for more than 5 years, and about one-third may never need it.

The 2025 CareScout Cost of Care Survey puts national medians at $35 an hour for a non-medical caregiver at home, $6,200 a month ($74,400 a year) for assisted living, and $129,575 a year for a private nursing home room. Worked example: 3.7 years in assisted living at the median is $74,400 x 3.7 = $275,280. The same 3.7 years in a private nursing home room is about $479,400.

Medicaid does pay for nursing home and home care, but only once your income and assets are under the limits your state sets, and the rules vary by state. Gifts or transfers for less than fair market value made in the 60 months before applying can trigger a penalty period. Private long-term care insurance can also pay, within the limits and terms of the policy you hold.

Averages hide the spread. A third of people may need nothing, while a fifth need years of care. The number to work out is how many years of care your plan can carry before Medicaid rules apply, and who in the household would be left with what.

Where it gets personal

In Week 4 you price one, three and five years of care at your local rates and see which assets and income would pay for each.

See the Retirement Decision Lab

Sources

  1. Long-term care coverage · Medicare.gov
  2. How Much Care Will You Need? · Administration for Community Living
  3. Cost of Long-Term Care: Senior Living, Assisted Living Cost & More · CareScout
  4. New Medicaid Transfer of Asset Rules Under the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 · Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services

Written and reviewed by Todd Allyn, Founding Director, Sovereo Intelligence
Facts checked Oct 6, 2026 · Next review by Jan 15, 2027
How we source answers · Report an error

Did this answer your question?

Ask the Lab

Still have a question?

Ask it in your own words. If we haven't answered it yet, we will.

Sovereo Intelligence · Live lab

General answers end where your numbers begin.

Four live 90-minute working sessions. Four decisions, worked on your own income and costs, ending with your personal Retirement Decision Brief. Led by Todd Allyn: 24 years teaching economics, finance and business, former business school dean, not a financial advisor.

See the Lab and join the waitlist
Price
$297 once
Sessions
Wednesdays, 7pm Eastern
Dates
Nov 4, 11, 18 · Dec 2
Enrollment
Oct 11 to Oct 23, noon ET