The Retirement Decision Lab

Decision 1 · Week 1 · Wed Nov 4

How much will health care cost in retirement?

SHORT ANSWERFidelity's 2026 estimate is $185,500 in after-tax savings for one 65-year-old on original Medicare, before long-term care. The 2026 Medicare Part B premium alone is $202.90 a month, with a $283 annual deductible.

Fidelity's 2026 Retiree Health Care Cost Estimate says a 65-year-old individual may need $185,500 in after-tax savings to cover health care in retirement. It counts Part B premiums, Part A and B deductibles and coinsurance, Part D premiums and drug costs, and some services original Medicare does not cover. It assumes a single person retiring at 65 in 2025, eligible for original Medicare, with no employer retiree coverage.

The fixed pieces are public. In 2026 the standard Part B premium is $202.90 a month, up from $185.00 in 2025. The Part B deductible is $283, and the Part A hospital deductible is $1,736 per benefit period.

Worked example: a married couple both on Part B pays $202.90 x 12 x 2 = $4,869.60 a year in Part B premiums alone, before drug coverage, supplemental coverage, deductibles and dental. If each spouse matched Fidelity's estimate, the pair would need about $371,000 over retirement.

Real spending data points the same way. Households headed by someone 65 or older spent an average of $7,799 on health care in 2024, according to the BLS Consumer Expenditure Surveys.

What the headline number misses: it excludes long-term care, most dental and over-the-counter drugs. It is also an average. Your cost depends on your health, where you live, how long you live, and whether your income pushes you into higher Medicare premiums.

Where it gets personal

In Week 1 you put Medicare premiums, out-of-pocket costs and any pre-65 coverage into your own spending plan as a separate line.

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Sources

  1. How to plan for rising health care costs · Fidelity Investments
  2. 2026 Medicare Parts A & B Premiums and Deductibles · Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
  3. Expenditures: Healthcare by Age: Age 65 or over (CXUHEALTHLB0407M) · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Written and reviewed by Todd Allyn, Founding Director, Sovereo Intelligence
Facts checked Oct 6, 2026 · Next review by Jan 15, 2027
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